math-probability-conditional-probabilities.html


* created: 2025-10-28T16:45
* modified: 2025-10-29T19:37

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Conditional Probalities

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Something happening on the basis that something else happend before.

Conditional Probabilities

Conditional probability: The outcome B has the prerequisite that A happened before; this is written as: Pr(B|A)

If Pr(A) \neq 0. The conditional probability that B happens under the condition of A is defined through: Pr(B|A) = \frac{Pr(A \cap B)}{Pr(B)}

Useful properties

Multiplication: Pr(A \cap B) =Pr(A|B) \cdot Pr(B)

Bayes' theorem: With A and B being outcomes with Pr(A) \neq 0 and Pr(B) \neq 0, the following holds: Pr(A|B) = \frac{Pr(A)}{Pr(B)} \cdot Pr(B|A)